FK Partizan 0-4 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 62%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.54/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.86
+7% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
11.7 Crosses 20.3
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
188 Passes 342
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 45
12 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRBK
20.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
09.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.12.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
26.04.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
03.03.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
0-4
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.57 xG 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
264 Passes 466
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside FK Partizan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Partizan had 40% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 60%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.57 to 2.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Partizan and 1.50 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Kızılyıldız?

FK Partizan 0-4 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 22%, draw 30%, Kızılyıldız 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ BTTS Yes
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