Falkirk 2-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 23 Sep 2025

Falkirk
2-2 HT 1-2
Hibernian
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Falkirk vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.7
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
15%
6.49
X/2
12%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
27%
3.2
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.70/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.06
-28% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
26.0 Crosses 20.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Falkirk vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
The Meetings
12.07.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
25.03.2017 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
31.12.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
12.11.2016 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
06.08.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
13.05.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 3-2 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL

Falkirk 2-2 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
2-2
AWAY Hibernian
1.18 xG 2.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
319 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk and Hibernian shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Falkirk had 51% of the ball to Hibernian's 49%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.18 to 2.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Falkirk and 1.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hibernian?

Falkirk 2-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 31%, draw 22%, Hibernian 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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