Dundee United 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 23 Sep 2025

Dundee United
2-0 HT 1-0
Aberdeen
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Dundee United vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.61
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
10%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.79
X/X
10%
4.43
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
20%
4.07
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.43/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.51
-17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.0 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dundee United vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
228 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
02.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 0-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.11.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP

Dundee United 2-0 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
1.33 xG 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
244 Passes 356
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United got the better of Aberdeen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dundee United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundee United had 43% of the ball to Aberdeen's 57%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.33 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee United and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Dundee United 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 36%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aberdeen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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