Aberdeen 1-0 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Oct 2024

Aberdeen
1-0 HT 0-0
Dundee United
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Aberdeen vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
12%
8.66
X/X
15%
4.86
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
11%
6.69
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.64/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 67%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.4 Crosses 20.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aberdeen vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
339 Passes 254
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.11.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
08.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.02.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
20.11.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
01.08.2021 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP

Aberdeen 1-0 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-0
AWAY Dundee United
1.41 xG 0.38
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
501 Passes 152
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen nicked a narrow win over Dundee United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 70% of the ball to Dundee United's 30%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 1.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Dundee United?

Aberdeen 1-0 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 45%, draw 26%, Dundee United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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