Ross County 2-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Oct 2024

Ross County
2-1 HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Ross County vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.21
6+ Goals
13%
20.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.21 — our 23% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.67
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
18%
7.13
X/2
12%
4.3
X/X
16%
4.27
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.8
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.10/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.37
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +59%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
194 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
18.2 Crosses 28.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Ross County vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kilmarnock
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
174 Passes 220
56% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
25.11.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.01.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
22.10.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP

Ross County 2-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
2-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
0.82 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 204
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County edged past Kilmarnock 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ross County found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ross County had 58% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.82 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ross County and 0.83 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Kilmarnock?

Ross County 2-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ross County 35%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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