Dundee FC 1-2 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
11%
9.0
X/X
13%
4.95
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
13%
6.84
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.63/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.28
-11% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
345 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.8 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
209 Passes 257
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
26.01.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
01.12.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-2
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.43 xG 2.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
199 Passes 440
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 36% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 64%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.43 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee FC and 0.83 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone?

Dundee FC 1-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 43%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC)
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