Dundee United 1-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
12%
6.54
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
4.67
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -22%
1.72/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.80
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
25.3 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 349
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.11.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
08.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.02.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
20.11.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-0
AWAY Aberdeen
2.27 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
236 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over Aberdeen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Dundee United made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee United had 40% of the ball to Aberdeen's 60%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.27 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundee United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee United and 1.00 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Dundee United 1-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 40%, draw 28%, Aberdeen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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