Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hibernian v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Hibernian came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Kilmarnock 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.
On the day, Hibernian had 60% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 40%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 2.32 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hibernian's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Hibernian 1 - 0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 49%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.