Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hibernian v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-2
HT 0-1
Hibernian
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-0
HT 0-0
Hibernian
İKP
Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Hibernian nicked a narrow win over Kilmarnock 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Hibernian had 60% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 40%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 2.32 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hibernian's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 42%, draw 31%, Kilmarnock 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.