Celtic 4-0 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.14
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.96
2-3 Goals
40%
2.32
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
4.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.16
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
18%
3.57
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
9%
15.3
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
4%
34.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-17.8pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.4pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.83/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.95
+16% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +39%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
575 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
44.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
28.4 Crosses 12.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Johnstone
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.78 xG 0.63
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
625 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
50 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-6 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.03.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
03.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
26.08.2023 Celtic Celtic 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.02.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-4 HT 1-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.12.2022 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 3-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
4-0
AWAY St. Johnstone
4.18 xG 0.06
70% Ball Possession 30%
30 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 2
632 Passes 227
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
57 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celtic vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic cruised past St. Johnstone 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Celtic had 70% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 30%, shots finished 30-1, expected goals 4.18 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Celtic vs St. Johnstone?

Celtic 4-0 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Celtic 67%, draw 20%, St. Johnstone 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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