St. Mirren 1-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 33% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.37
X/2
11%
7.89
X/X
15%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
11%
5.94
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
1.15/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
-24% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
26.7 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
218 Passes 229
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
04.05.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
07.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
21.01.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
1-2
AWAY Dundee FC
1.02 xG 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
218 Passes 130
62% Pass Accuracy 49%
16 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC edged past St. Mirren 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Mirren had 58% of the ball to Dundee FC's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Dundee FC?

St. Mirren 1-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 43%, draw 29%, Dundee FC 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
29 Dec 2024
18:00 Motherwell vs Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Ross County vs Hearts Analysis →
18:00 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Analysis →
18:00 Celtic vs St. Johnstone Analysis →
20:15 Dundee United vs Aberdeen Analysis →