Aberdeen 2-2 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Mar 2025

Aberdeen
2-2 HT 0-2
Dundee United
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Aberdeen vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
11%
4.81
X/2
10%
7.3
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.43
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.56/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.47
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 66%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
23.1 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aberdeen vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
355 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.11.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
08.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.02.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP

Aberdeen 2-2 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
2-2
AWAY Dundee United
1.98 xG 0.53
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 5
434 Passes 123
84% Pass Accuracy 60%
51 Box Touches 12
63 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Dundee United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 73% of the ball to Dundee United's 27%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.98 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberdeen and 1.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Dundee United?

Aberdeen 2-2 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 41%, draw 30%, Dundee United 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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