Dundee United 2-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 17 May 2025

Dundee United
2-1 HT 0-1
Aberdeen
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Dundee United vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 25% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.8
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.92
X/2
10%
5.8
X/X
12%
4.95
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.68
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.35/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
-21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.2 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dundee United vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.19
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
226 Passes 380
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 0-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.11.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
08.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP

Dundee United 2-1 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-1
AWAY Aberdeen
1.93 xG 1.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 13
157 Passes 351
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 32
29 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over Aberdeen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Dundee United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundee United had 35% of the ball to Aberdeen's 65%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.93 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee United and 1.17 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Dundee United 2-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 40%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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