Celtic vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celtic 1-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celtic at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celtic had 77% of the ball to St. Mirren's 23%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.54 to 0.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Celtic vs St. Mirren?
Celtic 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Celtic 62%, draw 20%, St. Mirren 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 went the other way.