Celtic 3-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.25
2-3 Goals
39%
2.34
4-5 Goals
28%
2.38
6+ Goals
14%
4.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
28.0
X/1
13%
3.7
X/2
5%
31.5
X/X
7%
11.6
2/1
10%
21.25
2/2
6%
22.3
2/X
7%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-13.4pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.72/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.03
+14% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
532 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
28.4 Crosses 16.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Mirren
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.85 xG 0.60
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
632 Passes 152
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
43 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
11.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
02.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
01.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
20.05.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
05.03.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-5 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
3-2
AWAY St. Mirren
2.46 xG 1.32
73% Ball Possession 27%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
494 Passes 133
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Celtic vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic edged past St. Mirren 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Celtic had 73% of the ball to St. Mirren's 27%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.46 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Celtic vs St. Mirren?

Celtic 3-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Celtic 65%, draw 18%, St. Mirren 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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