Hearts 3-3 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 May 2024

Hearts
3-3 HT 1-0
Rangers
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hearts vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
6.28
2-3 Goals
36%
2.1
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
9%
5.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.28 — our 30% vs market 11.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.51
1/2
12%
19.3
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
14%
8.92
X/2
15%
4.55
X/X
6%
6.66
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.21
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 57%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
0.96/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.77
+34% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
18.3 Crosses 19.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hearts vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rangers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.89 xG 2.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 447
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
24.02.2024 Rangers Rangers 5-0 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
06.12.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
05.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-3 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKLK
29.10.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-1 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
24.05.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-2 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP

Hearts 3-3 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
3-3
AWAY Rangers
2.06 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
289 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Rangers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hearts had 46% of the ball to Rangers's 54%, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 2.06 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hearts and 2.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Rangers?

Hearts 3-3 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hearts 31%, draw 19%, Rangers 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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