St. Mirren vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Celtic — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 2-5 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic swept aside St. Mirren 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, St. Mirren had 24% of the ball to Celtic's 76%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.63 to 3.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St. Mirren and 2.83 for Celtic.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Celtic?
St. Mirren 2-5 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Celtic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 23%, draw 24%, Celtic 53%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.