Dundee FC 1-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
10%
6.51
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
20%
4.58
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.19/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
+11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.2 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
192 Passes 339
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 0-3 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.10.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
30.03.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.58 xG 0.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
193 Passes 337
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC and St. Johnstone shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 41% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 59%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.58 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone?

Dundee FC 1-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 38%, draw 25%, St. Johnstone 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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