Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Mar 2025

Ross County
1-0 HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Ross County vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
4.58
6+ Goals
10%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.76
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
6.25
X/2
10%
5.03
X/X
15%
3.93
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.4
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · X/1 at 6.25 — our 23% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -22%
1.16/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 67%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.7 Crosses 26.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ross County vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kilmarnock
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
199 Passes 231
60% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.01.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
26.10.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
06.04.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
25.11.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP

Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
1-0
AWAY Kilmarnock
0.96 xG 2.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
129 Passes 204
50% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 45
19 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County nicked a narrow win over Kilmarnock 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ross County found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ross County had 42% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 58%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.96 to 2.44 — on chances, Kilmarnock could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ross County and 0.83 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Kilmarnock?

Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ross County 40%, draw 29%, Kilmarnock 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ross County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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