Kilmarnock 0-1 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.4
X/1
16%
3.73
X/2
5%
10.75
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
9%
9.02
2/X
7%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.71
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
25.2 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ross County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
216 Passes 191
63% Pass Accuracy 58%
20 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
06.04.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
25.11.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.01.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-1
AWAY Ross County
0.56 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
293 Passes 188
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County edged past Kilmarnock 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 58% of the ball to Ross County's 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.56 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.17 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Ross County?

Kilmarnock 0-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 54%, draw 26%, Ross County 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kilmarnock), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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