Dundee United 0-1 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Jan 2025

Dundee United
0-1 HT 0-0
Hearts
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Dundee United vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.99 — our 23% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.47
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.13
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.5
2/2
18%
4.32
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.44/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.41
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.4 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Dundee United vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hearts
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.31 xG 1.49
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
212 Passes 394
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.02.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.12.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
14.08.2022 Hearts Hearts 4-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-3 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
05.03.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP

Dundee United 0-1 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
0-1
AWAY Hearts
0.66 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 255
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Dundee United vs Hearts
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hearts edged past Dundee United 1-0 away from home in the Scotland - Premiership on 5 Jan 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundee United had 53% of the ball to Hearts's 47%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.66 to 0.85.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundee United and 2.33 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Hearts?

Dundee United 0-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 42%, draw 24%, Hearts 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundee United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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