Hibernian 3-3 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
45%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.28
1/2
6%
20.9
1/X
9%
16.45
X/1
9%
11.45
X/2
14%
3.95
X/X
11%
6.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.93
2/X
5%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
46%
Away Win
60%
-14.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 64%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.57/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.76
+66% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
201 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
23.3 Crosses 23.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rangers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.05 xG 2.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
253 Passes 465
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
30.03.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 2-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
10.03.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKK
24.01.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-2 Rangers Rangers İKP
21.10.2023 Rangers Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
21.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-3
AWAY Rangers
1.89 xG 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 8
239 Passes 491
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hibernian had 38% of the ball to Rangers's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.89 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hibernian and 2.67 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Rangers?

Hibernian 3-3 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 30%, draw 25%, Rangers 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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