St. Johnstone 1-3 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.56
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.47
X/2
10%
5.97
X/X
15%
4.55
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.02
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.85/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.32
-28% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 67%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.2 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
286 Passes 207
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
30.03.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
26.01.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-3
AWAY Dundee FC
2.00 xG 1.49
77% Ball Possession 23%
26 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
515 Passes 80
86% Pass Accuracy 45%
32 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC saw off St. Johnstone 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dundee FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 77% of the ball to Dundee FC's 23%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.49 — on chances, St. Johnstone could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.33 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC?

St. Johnstone 1-3 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 34%, draw 32%, Dundee FC 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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