Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yate Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.18/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.80
-37% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.1
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town saw off Yate Town 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basingstoke Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?

Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 50%, draw 22%, Yate Town 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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