Hungerford Town 1-5 Hanwell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
2.43/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.27
+53% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Hanwell Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
22.02.2025 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
30.11.2024 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
11.11.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hungerford Town
1-5
AWAY Hanwell Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Hanwell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hanwell Town ran out comfortable winners over Hungerford Town 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hungerford Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hungerford Town had 54% of the ball to Hanwell Town's 46%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hungerford Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hungerford Town and 0.67 for Hanwell Town.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Hanwell Town?

Hungerford Town 1-5 Hanwell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Hanwell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 44%, draw 29%, Hanwell Town 27%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hungerford Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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