Cardiff City U21 1-2 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+9.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+102% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
324 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Burnley U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
06.05.2025 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 1-4 HT 1-2 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 nicked a narrow win over Cardiff City U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff City U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Cardiff City U21 1-2 Burnley U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 47%, draw 21%, Burnley U21 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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