Ternana 2-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Sep 2025

Ternana
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Pontedera
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.48
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
12%
5.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.08
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.89
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.63
6+
5%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ternana The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
0.55 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Great Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Pontedera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2025 Ternana Ternana 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
30.08.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-2 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTC
22.07.2022 Ternana Ternana 3-0 Pontedera Pontedera HAZ
22.07.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 0-3 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
2 - 1
AWAY Pontedera
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ternana vs Pontedera
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ternana edged past Pontedera 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 46%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.66, about 60%.

By the numbers, Ternana had 67% of the ball to Pontedera's 33%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ternana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ternana and 0.25 for Pontedera.

Ternana vs Pontedera Result & Final Score

Ternana 2 - 1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ternana vs Pontedera Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ternana 67%, draw 21%, Pontedera 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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