Udinese 2-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

Udinese
2 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Palermo
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Udinese vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
21%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.7
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.04
6+
5%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.64
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
8%
7.82
X/X
17%
4.28
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.37
2/X
5%
14.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Udinese v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Udinese The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Palermo The Market 27%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
Great Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
– Crosses 18
– Yellow Cards 3

Udinese vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palermo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
340 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.03.2017 Udinese Udinese 4-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTA
24.01.2016 Palermo Palermo 4-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
30.08.2015 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTA
12.04.2015 Udinese Udinese 1-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTA
09.11.2014 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
08.05.2013 Palermo Palermo 2-3 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA

Udinese 2-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
2 - 1
AWAY Palermo
1.34 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
366 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Udinese vs Palermo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Udinese shaded a tight game against Palermo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.80, roughly 56%.

By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Udinese's favour, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.34 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Udinese against 2.00 for Palermo.

Udinese vs Palermo Result & Final Score

Udinese 2 - 1 Palermo in the Italy - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Udinese vs Palermo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Udinese 52%, draw 27%, Palermo 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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