Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cagliari v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cagliari 4-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari made light work of Frosinone 4-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Frosinone saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.16 to 1.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Cagliari against 1.50 for Frosinone.
Cagliari vs Frosinone Result & Final Score
Cagliari 4 - 1 Frosinone in the Italy - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 59%, draw 23%, Frosinone 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.