Bayern München (K) 4-0 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 23 Sep 2025

Bayern München (K)
4 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Freiburg (K)
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✓
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
86%
1.16
Draw
8%
7.78
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
3.69
No
70%
1.23
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
59%
1/2
0%
1/X
2%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
1%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Bayern München (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayern München (K) The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) The Market 9%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.58
0.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.47
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
293 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 74%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1

Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.00 xG 0.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
459 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
08.11.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-2 HT 2-0 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
05.02.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
15.09.2023 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 4-0 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
4 - 0
AWAY Freiburg (K)
3.27 xG 0.08
67% Ball Possession 33%
33 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
546 Passes 215
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
60 Box Touches 3
33 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayern München (K) cruised past Freiburg (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (70%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Bayern München (K) had 67% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 33%, shots finished 33-2, expected goals 3.27 to 0.08.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Bayern München (K) and 1.25 for Freiburg (K).

Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K) Result & Final Score

Bayern München (K) 4 - 0 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 86%, draw 8%, Freiburg (K) 6%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
23 Sep 2025
20:00 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Union Berlin (K) Analysis →