Sport Boys 1-1 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.44/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.40
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.6 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
167 Passes 325
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-3 HT 1-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
14.09.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
05.04.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
21.08.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
02.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
29.09.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1-1
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.68 xG 0.73
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
215 Passes 407
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys and Atletico Grau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Boys at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sport Boys had 38% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 62%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Boys and 1.67 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Sport Boys 1-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 43%, draw 28%, Atletico Grau 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Boys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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