Atletico Grau 3-3 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.06
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
30.6 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 Passes 179
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
05.04.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
21.08.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
02.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
29.09.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
07.05.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
3-3
AWAY Sport Boys
3.24 xG 2.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 156
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Sport Boys shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 59% of the ball to Sport Boys's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 3.24 to 2.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Grau and 0.50 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?

Atletico Grau 3-3 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 48%, draw 30%, Sport Boys 22%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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