Cultural San 1-1 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.3pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
0.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.87
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.3 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Melgar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
06.04.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-2 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
1-1
AWAY Melgar
1.30 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
289 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San and Melgar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cultural San had 52% of the ball to Melgar's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cultural San and 2.00 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Melgar?

Cultural San 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 30%, draw 33%, Melgar 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melgar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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