Melgar 2-0 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.5pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.05/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.55
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
21.7 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cultural San
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
282 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-2 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
2-0
AWAY Cultural San
1.93 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 255
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar got the better of Cultural San 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Melgar had 58% of the ball to Cultural San's 42%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.93 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Cultural San?

Melgar 2-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Melgar 62%, draw 22%, Cultural San 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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