Alianza Atletico 0-3 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.75
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
23%
+13.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
46%
-15.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -14%
0.98/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.02
-19% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
13.4 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Universitario
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.69 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
175 Passes 348
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
04.07.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
14.05.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
30.09.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
07.05.2022 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 2-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
19.07.2021 Universitario Universitario 2-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-3
AWAY Universitario
0.39 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
309 Passes 232
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario swept aside Alianza Atletico 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Universitario found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 56% of the ball to Universitario's 44%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.83 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Alianza Atletico 0-3 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 37%, draw 32%, Universitario 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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