Alianza Lima 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.2pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.87/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.88
-1% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.7 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.67 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
344 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
25.09.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
08.05.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
23.07.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
20.02.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-1 HT 0-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
16.10.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
1-0
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
0.61 xG 0.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
364 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 58% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 42%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.33 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Alianza Lima 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 65%, draw 20%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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