Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Binacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Binacional
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Binacional — Actual Match Statistics
Binacional nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Garcilaso at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 31% of the ball to Binacional's 69%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.74 to 0.98.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional?
Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 57%, draw 23%, Binacional 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.