Havant & Waterlooville 5-2 Hanwell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
34%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.6pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
0.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.83
-74% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havant & Waterlooville
5-2
AWAY Hanwell Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville ran out comfortable winners over Hanwell Town 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Havant & Waterlooville as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Havant & Waterlooville had 54% of the ball to Hanwell Town's 46%, shots finished 19-17.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town?

Havant & Waterlooville 5-2 Hanwell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 44%, draw 34%, Hanwell Town 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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