Eibar 1-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Oct 2024

Eibar
1-0 HT 1-0
Cadiz
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.88
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.44
X/2
10%
7.32
X/X
15%
3.83
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
10%
5.89
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.39/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.61
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.9 Crosses 21.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.28
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
454 Passes 124
80% Pass Accuracy 51%
22 Box Touches 9
40 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
30.10.2020 Eibar Eibar 0-2 HT 0-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
08.03.2008 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
07.10.2007 Cadiz Cadiz 1-2 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
30.01.2005 Cadiz Cadiz 1-2 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
28.08.2004 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-0
AWAY Cadiz
1.11 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar nicked a narrow win over Cadiz 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Eibar had 49% of the ball to Cadiz's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.11 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eibar and 1.00 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Cadiz?

Eibar 1-0 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eibar 43%, draw 30%, Cadiz 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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