Eldense 2-3 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.9
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
14%
5.52
X/X
17%
3.75
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.12
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.46/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.08
+18% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.9 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 0.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
212 Passes 310
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2024 Eldense Eldense 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
03.09.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
2-3
AWAY Real Zaragoza
2.20 xG 1.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
318 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza squeezed past Eldense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Real Zaragoza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eldense had 56% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.20 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Eldense.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eldense and 1.50 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Real Zaragoza?

Eldense 2-3 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Eldense 35%, draw 32%, Real Zaragoza 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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