Bavois 0-1 Breitenrain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
39%
+13.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.9pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Breitenrain EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.78/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.74
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Breitenrain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Bavois 4-2 HT 0-2 Breitenrain İSV1Y
11.03.2023 Bavois 1-3 HT 0-1 Breitenrain İSV1Y
03.09.2022 Breitenrain 1-1 HT 1-1 Bavois İSV1Y
11.09.2021 Breitenrain 2-0 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
0-1
AWAY Breitenrain
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Breitenrain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breitenrain nicked a narrow win over Bavois 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bavois at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bavois had 55% of the ball to Breitenrain's 45%, shots finished 23-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Breitenrain led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bavois and 2.00 for Breitenrain.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Breitenrain?

Bavois 0-1 Breitenrain in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Breitenrain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bavois 53%, draw 19%, Breitenrain 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bavois) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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