Luzern II 4-2 Zürich II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.96
Over 2.5
48%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.35
No
50%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
30%
+22.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
70%
-22.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
70%
-20.2pp
50%
BTTS No
30%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich II EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.65/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.09
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
269 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Zürich II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 Zürich II Zürich II 4-0 HT 2-0 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
02.09.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 2-2 HT 0-2 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
03.05.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
29.10.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 1-3 HT 1-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Luzern II vs Zürich II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern II beat Zürich II 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luzern II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Luzern II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Luzern II and 1.75 for Zürich II.

What was the final score of Luzern II vs Zürich II?

Luzern II 4-2 Zürich II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern II vs Zürich II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Luzern II 44%, draw 21%, Zürich II 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern II) ✗ Under 2.5
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