Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
3-2
El Nacional
EKVK
1-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKVK
2-1
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 1-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional edged past Mushuc Runa 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; El Nacional found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 52% of the ball to El Nacional's 48%, shots finished 15-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional?
Mushuc Runa 1-2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Cup on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 34%, draw 30%, El Nacional 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.