FK Turan 0-2 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Turan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 62%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.05
+47% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Turan
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Tobol
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
01.07.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 2-2 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.04.2022 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
03.07.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 2-4 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.04.2021 Tobol Tobol 5-0 HT 2-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
POST-MATCH FK Turan vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol saw off FK Turan 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for FK Turan and 3.20 for Tobol.

What was the final score of FK Turan vs Tobol?

FK Turan 0-2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Turan vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FK Turan 27%, draw 24%, Tobol 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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