Tobol 2-0 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+14.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +31%
1.97/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.85
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
525 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
3W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Turan
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.07.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 2-2 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.04.2022 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
03.07.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 2-4 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.04.2021 Tobol Tobol 5-0 HT 2-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol got the better of FK Turan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Tobol and 1.00 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Tobol vs FK Turan?

Tobol 2-0 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tobol 60%, draw 19%, FK Turan 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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