Kairat 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.1pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
2.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
+34% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
02.07.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1 HT 2-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
24.06.2023 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
02.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
02.05.2022 Kairat Kairat 1-1 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
19.09.2021 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
03.05.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat nicked a narrow win over Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kairat and 0.83 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Kairat 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kairat 49%, draw 32%, Kyzyl-Zhar 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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