Ordabasy Shymkent 5-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.86/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.64
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
448 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.10.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
09.03.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-4 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
14.05.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.08.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 3-0 HT 3-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
29.05.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent swept aside Shakhter Karagandy 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.00 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Ordabasy Shymkent 5-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 63%, draw 20%, Shakhter Karagandy 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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