Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.78
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.26
X/2
12%
7.09
X/X
16%
4.33
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
5.65
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.1 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stal Mielec
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-1 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
12.08.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 3-1 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
18.03.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
03.09.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
15.05.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
27.11.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
2-1
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.75 xG 2.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
260 Passes 389
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw edged past Stal Mielec 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slask Wroclaw as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 41% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 59%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.75 to 2.86 — on chances, Stal Mielec could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.50 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Stal Mielec?

Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 42%, draw 28%, Stal Mielec 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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