Porto II vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Porto II v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Porto II vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Porto II 2-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Porto II came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mafra 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Porto II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Porto II's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.39 — on chances created, Porto II won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Porto II against 1.33 for Mafra.
Porto II vs Mafra Result & Final Score
Porto II 2-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Porto II vs Mafra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Porto II 41%, draw 27%, Mafra 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.