Al Hazm 4-1 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 23 Oct 2024

Al Hazm
4-1 HT 3-0
Abha
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Abha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 321
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-1 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
14.12.2023 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
11.02.2022 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
18.09.2021 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
19.08.2020 Abha Abha 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
12.12.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-3 HT 1-2 Abha Abha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
4-1
AWAY Abha
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm swept aside Abha 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hazm as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Hazm had 52% of the ball to Abha's 48%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hazm had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hazm and 1.17 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Abha?

Al Hazm 4-1 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 42%, draw 24%, Abha 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hazm), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
23 Oct 2024
18:05 Al Faisaly vs Al Tai Analysis →
19:50 Jeddah Club vs Al Jabalain Analysis →