Ferro Carril 1-1 Melo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Melo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferro Carril
1-1
AWAY Melo Wanderers
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril vs Melo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril and Melo Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ferro Carril had 53% of the ball to Melo Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril vs Melo Wanderers?

Ferro Carril 1-1 Melo Wanderers in the Uruguay Cup on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril vs Melo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril 39%, draw 34%, Melo Wanderers 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferro Carril), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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